I lead the Hydrological Modelling and Risk (HMR) Group at the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology in Wallingford. The HMR Group encompasses the development of hydrological models to estimate changes in risk of floods and droughts under climate change, and includes the team responsible for the Flood Estimation Handbook (FEH).
I am a modeller with a background in applied mathematics, specialised in the development of spatially-distributed hydrological models, snowmelt models, and modelling of hydro-ecological systems as affected by natural hazards. Significant developments include the Grid-to-Grid hydrological model and its application across the UK at a 1km resolution to investigate the effect of climate change on river flows.
Current/recent research includes
- the development of a grid-based, integrated model to estimate large scale pools and fluxes of nutrients across the UK (LTLS) as part of the NERC Macronutrient Cycles programme
- national-scale drought modelling for the NERC-funded MariuS project improving the understanding of droughts across the UK
- EPSRC-funded development of hydrological methodology and models for national scale (Great Britain) analysis of flood risk to infrastructure systems (ITRC)
- a UK-wide seasonal hydrological forecast system (Hydrological Outlooks) delivered through the Environmental Science to Services (ESSP) collaboration with the Met Office, the Environment Agency and the British Geological Survey.