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I am interested in species' population dynamics and spatial distributions, what drives them and methods that can be used to predict them. At present I mostly use statistical models and machine learning to try and predict species' distributions using opportunistically-recorded occurrence data. In the past I have developed and applied mechanistic individual-based models to try and predict how fish stocks will respond to various environmental and management scenarios.
Boyd, R., Walker, N., Hyder, K., Thorpe, R., Roy, S., & Sibly, R. (2020). SEASIM-NEAM: a Spatially-Explicit Agent-based SIMulator of NorthEast Atlantic Mackerel population dynamics. MethodsX, 7(2014), 100892. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.mex.2020.100892
Boyd R, Thorpe R, Hyder K, Roy S, Walker N and Sibly R (2020) Potential Consequences of Climate and Management Scenarios for the Northeast Atlantic Mackerel Fishery. Front. Mar. Sci. 7:639. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2020.00639
Boyd, R., R. M. Sibly, K. Hyder, R. B. Thorpe, N. D. Walker, and S. Roy. 2020. Simulating the summer feeding distribution of Northeast Atlantic mackerel with a mechanistic individual-based model. Progress in Oceanography 183:102299.
Mintram, K. S., Maynard, S. K., Brown, A. R., Boyd, R., Johnston, A. S. A., Sibly, R. M., … Tyler, C. R. (2020). Applying a mechanistic model to predict interacting effects of chemical exposure and food availability on fish populations. Aquatic Toxicology, 224(November 2019), 105483. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.aquatox.2020.105483
Walker, A. N., Boyd, R., Watson, J., Radford, Z., Readdy, L., Sibly, R., … Hyder, K. (2019). A spatially explicit individual-based model to support management of commercial and recreational fisheries for European sea bass Dicentrarchus labrax. Ecological Modelling, 44(0), 524450. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2020.109179
Watson, J. W., Hyder, K., Boyd, R., Thorpe, R., Simon, M., Keno, W., … Sibly, R. M. (2020). Assessing the sublethal impacts of anthropogenic stressors on fish : An energy-budget approach. Fish and Fisheries, (June), 1–12. http://doi.org/10.1111/faf.12487
Boyd, R., S. Roy, R. Sibly, R. Thorpe, and K. Hyder. 2018. A general approach to incorporating spatial and temporal variation in individual-based models of fish populations with application to Atlantic mackerel. Ecological Modelling 382:9–17.
Johnston, A. S. A., Boyd, R. J., Watson, J. W., Paul, A., Evans, L. C., Gardner, E. L., … El, G. (2019). Predicting population responses to environmental change from individual- level mechanisms : towards a standardized mechanistic approach. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / The Royal Society.
Bsc (hons), MSc, PhD