What do you see, and how do we get there?
Models that predict future biodiversity trajectories are powerful tools for exploring the consequences of long-term environmental change. We can use these models to consider the outcomes for biodiversity under different socioeconomic and environmental scenarios, and help guide future policy decisions for nature's recovery.
Such models are currently being developed around the world for use by policy makers and practitioners, but there is still a need for a modelling framework to predict biodiversity pathways and inform management decisions in the UK.
About the project
In this project, we are building the foundations of a modelling framework capable of producing both near term forecasts of biodiversity change under target-seeking scenarios and long-term exploratory forecasts.
The project involves extensive engagement with academic partners, UK nature and conservation agencies, and NGOs, to shape choices on which drivers of change should be included in the framework, and how future socioeconomic and environmental scenarios should be developed for the UK.